Jim Rogers: China’s Economic Advance is All But Unstoppable

Keith Fitz-Gerald / Money Morning/ Money Map Report | April 15, 2008

SINGAPORE - China’s long-term prospects are so strong that even a civil war, an economic collapse or political assassinations would only temporarily delay its emergence as a worldwide economic powerhouse, global investing guru Jim Rogers told Money Morning during an exclusive interview in this Southeast Asia city-state.

"Civil war would be a terrible thing in China, but it’d be a temporary setback, as would epidemics, as would economic setbacks, [and as would a] depression," Rogers said. "But China will come out of all that and keep going forward. Now, I don’t anticipate war in China - even civil war - but I’m suggesting that if it happened, I don’t see it as the end of the story any more than [the U.S. Civil War] was the end of the story in the United States."

With an economy that’s advancing at an average annual clip of better than 11%, $1.7 trillion in currency reserves, and an emerging middle class that will soon be the world’s largest, China represents the future to globally focused investors and businesses alike. But there’s always been a concern about just how resilient China’s economy actually would prove to be.

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Rogers urged investors to dump such concerns.

In fact, according to Rogers, when it comes to the Red Dragon, only one thing could cause this powerful expansion to wash out: A major water crisis.
"China has a huge water problem," he said. "In Northern China, they’re running out of water. They know this and they’re working on it, big time. But if they don’t solve it, or if they don’t solve it in time, then China - as you put it - has failed."

Rogers first made a name for himself with The Quantum Fund, a hedge fund that’s often described as the first truly global investment vehicle, which he and partner George Soros founded in 1970. Over the next decade, Quantum gained 4,200%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed about 50%.

It was after Rogers "retired" in 1980 that the public first really got to see him in action. After traveling the world on a motorcycle, Rogers penned the best seller "Investment Biker" - and gained the moniker: "Adventure Capitalist." And he’s used the "on-the-ground" insights he gained on that trip and others that followed to make some truly historic market calls: Rogers predicted China’s meteoric growth a good decade before it became apparent to other investing "experts," and he subsequently foretold of the powerful updraft in global commodities prices that is continuing to fuel a year-long bull market in the agriculture, energy and mining sectors.

Full article here.

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